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In Australia, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Economic Index declined by -0.2% from a year earlier in June, after a -0.1% fall a month earlier and pointing to the third straight monthly retreat.Īustralia is about to renew its commitment to its 2-3% flexible inflation target and that could underpin a doubling of the official interest rate in coming months. Meanwhile the EU told member states to cut gas usage by 15% until March as an emergency step after Russia warned that supplies sent via the biggest pipeline to Europe could be reduced further and might even stop.
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Confidence sunk to an all-time low for a series that began in 1985. The EU reported a deep and serious dive in consumer sentiment in July, driven by high energy and inflation costs, the war situation, and now unrelenting climate stress.
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German producer prices rose at a +7.2% annual rate in June from May, far less than the year-on-year +33% rise - and a clear indication the heat is going out of their producer price pressures. Meanwhile, Taiwanese export orders continue to recover strongly in June after the short and unexpected April drop. Separately, China is reporting large declines in road freight caused by renewed virus restrictions. Hundreds of contractors to the property industry complained that they can no longer afford to pay their own bills because developers still owe them money. Some suppliers to Chinese real estate developers are refusing to repay bank loans because of unpaid bills owed to them, a sign that the loan boycott that started with homebuyers is starting to spread. Energy costs account for much of the leveling out.Ĭhina reviewed is Loan Prime Rates today, but left them both unchanged. In May the annualised mon-on-month rate was 17% - in June it is back to just over 8%.
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To be clear, they are still unusually high, and this Canadian rate is a 39 year high, but some of the impetus is leaking away now. Analysts will need to start expecting these rises to be tamer than they had suddenly come to expect. There was a well-supported UST 20yr bond auction earlier today and that brought a median yield of 3.33% which was actually lower than the 3.41% at the prior equivalent event a month ago.Ĭanada's inflation rate came in at 8.1% which was higher than May's 7.7% but well below the expected 8.4%. The mortgage interest rate rose last week, after a few weeks of declines, and this won't help affordability or sales. Last week they slid more than -6%, indicating that the June housing activity drop has continued into July, because this was the third consecutive weekly fall in mortgage applications - and the largest of them.
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It will be no surprise then that mortgage applications are falling. Total unsold inventory rose sharply, up almost +10% from May to 1,260,000 units. The median price for all housing types was US$416,000 (NZ$668,000), a record high and up more than +13% in a year. It is the fifth consecutive month of retreat as tougher affordability continues to take a toll on potential home buyers. Today we lead with news many global indicators are coming in quite weak today.įirst, American existing home sales dropped -5.4% in June from May to an annual rate of 5.12 mln in June and a two year low and well below market forecasts of a 5.38 mln sales rate. I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from .nz. Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.